Election fraud: prevalence and impact in Bulgaria

Analysis of the Parliamentary elections November 2021

You can download the analysis from here.

See a video with the results here.

See an interactive map with the polling stations at-risk from the Parliamentary elections 14.11.2021 here.

See a list of the at-risk polling stations for the parliamentary elections in November here.

This analysis was published with the support of the Konrad-Adenauer Stiftung Rule of Law – South East Europe Programme. The content of this publication represents exclusive responsibility of its authors and does not necessarily represent the opinion of the Konrad-Adenauer Stiftung.

Analysis of the Parliamentary elections July 2021

You can download the analysis from here.

ACF identified between 1,491 (high outlier threshold) and 2,101 (low outlier threshold) polling stations at risk, which received between 9% and 13% of the total votes in the country. The instant analysis consists of two parts. The first part focuses on the voting tendencies in polling stations that were considered at a higher risk of vote purchasing and manipulation during the April 2021 election. The second part presents the results of applying the methodology for identification of votes at risk of purchasing and manipulation to the data from the parliamentary election held in July 2021.

Analysis of the Parliamentary elections April 2021

In a live stream, the Anti-Corruption Fund (ACF) presented the results of its study of the outcome of the last parliamentary election in April 2021. The study subjects the official election results to statistical analysis to answer the following questions:

  • What is the size of the controlled and paid vote?
  • Where are the polling stations at the greatest risk of controlled and paid vote?
  • Which political parties received the most votes in the polling stations at risk of controlled and paid vote?

The full analysis of the controlled and paid vote in the April 2021 general election is available here.

You can also see the results of the analysis as an animated chart here.

Analysis of the Presidential elections 2016. European Parliament Elections, 2019

You can download the analysis here.

Analysis of the Parliamentary elections 2017-2021

You can download the summary of the analysis from here.

You can download the analysis from here.

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